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Brian Villanueva's avatar

Prior to last night, there was about a 5% chance that Joe would be replaced as the nominee. This morning, I suspect that percentage is now about 25%. (Still a long shot, but within the realm of possibility.) This would be disastrous for Donald Trump. Voters don't like him. Were Biden to be convinced to drop out, the Dem convention would be messy, but they would nominate someone younger and likely female (and not named Kamala). 51% of the voters will vote against Biden. I suspect 51% would also convince themselves to give Gretchen Whitmer (for example) a shot over Trump.

Trump's ego shot him in the foot last night. He performed well, but he should have mandated that the first debate be held after nominations at the conventions had been clinched.

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